Can Argentina still qualify for the last 16 of the World Cup? Mathematically, yes and the chances look good.

After Thursday’s 3-0 against Croatia, this was the question many fans of Lionel Messi and Co pondered over. The equation was complicated as Nigeria and Iceland were yet to play.

But after Nigeria’s sensational win over Iceland on Friday, the picture in group D has become much clearer. The final round of matches will be held simultaneously on Tuesday, 26th June with Argentina taking on Nigeria in a do-or-die clash and Croatia playing Iceland.

Here’s how the the standings in Group D look after Friday’s result.

Argentina are currently at the bottom of the table with 1 points and a goal difference of -3 from two matches. Croatia sit at the top of Group D with six points and have sealed their passage to the next round. The win on Friday saw Nigeria climb to second place with three points. Iceland have one point, the same as Argentina, but a better GD of -2.

Here’s what Argentina need to do and hope the other teams do in the last round of matches:

First, beat Nigeria.

If the African team wins, then it will be Nigeria and Croatia who progress to the next round. Jorge Sampoali’s men need a win in their last match and then hope that either Croatia beat or draw with Iceland.

If Argentina beat Nigeria and Iceland beat Croatia, they will each have 4 points and then it will come down to GD, which will be decided by the margin of victory.

If Argentina beat Nigeria and Iceland lose to or draw with Croatia, the South American team will progress with 4 points, as the Nordic team will have 2 and Nigeria will remain on three.

Argentina essentially have to better Iceland’s result in their final match, while improving the GD as needed.

So, who is ready for an exciting final day?