Poll of polls suggests dead heat in Bihar except for one big NDA win
Four different polls suggest a tight battle between the National Democratic Alliance and the Grand Alliance.
An average of six exit polls of the Bihar assembly elections showed the Maha Gatbandhan, or the Grand Alliance, edging slightly ahead of the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance. The Grand Alliance, which is comprised of the Janata Dal (United), the Rashtriya Janata Dal and the Congress party, came out on top in four of the polls, with the NDA being ahead in the other two, including one massive win.
An exit poll conducted by Times Now-CVoter claimed that Nitish Kumar is set to remain the chief minister of Bihar, with the Grand Alliance managing to reach the magic number of 122 seats in the house of 243. The NDA, meanwhile, will win 111 seats. The poll has projected 67 seats for the JD(U) and 47 for the RJD. The BJP, however, is set to be the single largest party with 91 seats.
Another poll by the India Today Group-CICERO claimed that the BJP-led alliance is projected to win between 111-127 seats, with a mean of 119, while the Grand Alliance will win between 110-124 seats, with a mean of 117. Others, including independent candidates, will get between 4-10 seats.
A poll by NewsX said that the Grand Alliance will emerge as big winners with as many as 135 seats, with the NDA grabbing just 95 seats. However, Today's Chanakya, which was the only agency to predict the 2014 Lok Sabha polls right, pegged the NDA to win by a massive majority with 155 seats, compared to the Grand Alliance's 83.
According to the ABP Nielsen poll, the JD(U) and partners will win 130 seats, while the NDA will get 108. The News Nation post-poll survey predicted the BJP and its partners to get 115-119 seats, while the Grand Alliance will win 120-124 seats.
RJD chief Lalu Prasad claimed that the Grand Alliance will win no less than 190 seats, while the BJP's Giriraj Singh said the NDA would get a two-third majority.
We will win 190 seats: Lalu Prasad Yadav #PollOfPolls https://t.co/kB0iUhPYgF
— TIMES NOW (@TimesNow) November 5, 2015
In the 2010 assembly elections, the JD(U) and the BJP were in an alliance and won a massive majority. The JD(U) had won 115 seats and the BJP 91. The RJD had won 22 seats and the Congress just four when they contested independently.
