Moody's maintains India growth prediction at 7.5%, hikes forecast for China
The credit rating firm said a change in trade pacts after the US presidential elections may prove to be risky for the global economy.
Moody's Investors Service has predicted a 7.5% growth rate for India in 2016 in its August report, sticking to its earlier estimate, reported PTI. However, for China, the bond credit rating firm has indicated a hike, forecasting a 6.6% growth because of economic stabilisation, a recovery in commodity prices and the return of capital flows.
Earlier in May, it had predicted a 6.3% growth rate for China, reported Reuters. However, the agency said the revision in China's growth estimates will have limited impact on the global economy, as imports to China continue to dip.
The analysts said overall growth in emerging markets will stabilise, but added that the upcoming United States presidential election may pose some risks for the global economy. An analyst with Moody's told PTI, "The political and geopolitical risks, including a rise in nationalist and protectionist policies, are among the downside risks to global growth." According to the firm, if there is a change in global trade pacts and security alliances, export-oriented Asian economies will be at risk, reported IANS.
Moody’s also revised its predictions for Brazil and Russia and said the two will see growth at a higher rate. Turkey and South Africa, on the other hand, are reported to slow down.